Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 15.000928 17.436816 20.085041 23.170514 26.658861 30.472459 34.948972
2025-08-10 10.538977 13.776496 17.654010 22.604042 28.715337 35.970669 45.189174
2025-08-17 7.921888 11.390187 15.878063 22.030096 30.151002 40.401110 54.197305
2025-08-24 6.161232 9.624700 14.414272 21.385622 31.110884 44.011187 62.191908
2025-08-31 4.803622 8.104219 12.955304 20.408059 31.326391 46.450686 68.626925
2025-09-07 4.137388 7.458442 12.599578 20.863914 33.470978 51.563011 78.952235
2025-09-14 3.595446 6.897949 12.263259 21.254054 35.481425 56.556103 89.379102
2025-09-21 3.014993 6.161345 11.526859 20.896136 36.264321 59.738878 97.310218
2025-09-28 2.508687 5.458661 10.735033 20.324804 36.606232 62.212527 104.262929
2025-10-05 2.388546 5.453058 11.136333 21.780589 40.321141 70.114558 119.970099
2025-10-12 2.235317 5.353981 11.348835 22.912468 43.562697 77.443219 135.171843
2025-10-19 2.010864 5.068677 11.173369 23.317452 45.572007 82.874659 147.621052
2025-10-26 1.745377 4.671689 10.777346 23.362677 47.116796 87.910818 160.208405
2025-11-02 1.462445 4.182370 10.137359 22.891717 47.735673 91.511510 170.812883
2025-11-09 1.218636 3.728226 9.495702 22.328492 48.112869 94.699157 180.903919
2025-11-16 1.009943 3.309222 8.857524 21.679349 48.239871 97.416321 190.306577
2025-11-23 0.815910 2.876235 8.109913 20.690606 47.582741 98.630976 197.089992
2025-11-30 0.733666 2.737756 8.033837 21.152007 49.864746 105.396314 214.178628
2025-12-07 0.658099 2.599676 7.935507 21.546824 52.033606 112.071337 231.452664
2025-12-14 0.558933 2.359037 7.534000 21.184633 52.565476 115.629051 243.137006
2025-12-21 0.466584 2.111861 7.069376 20.606456 52.565702 118.127579 252.940748
2025-12-28 0.458054 2.158617 7.422268 22.079635 57.205820 130.099275 281.402908
2026-01-04 0.437767 2.156886 7.636801 23.224930 61.191658 140.963494 308.223294